An Enduring Peace Between Israel and Palestine? We've Seen This Pattern – The Consequence Was Further Bloodshed
So, what year are we in? The White House occupant, following an extended period of quiet support, has at last become involved to end an offensive by Israeli forces that has transformed large areas of a urban center in the region to ruins, causing thousands killed and sparking international condemnation.
The offensive has been preceded by a succession of assaults on Israel. Presently, facing demands from American leadership, the prime minister of Israel, a conservative politician with a gift for populist rhetoric and a deep conviction of historic Zionist mission, has approved a ceasefire.
Historical Parallels
The era is not the current year, but 1982. The location is not present-day Gaza, but the Lebanese capital. The president is Ronald Reagan, not Donald Trump.
Exist significant distinctions between the situation in the Lebanese nation more than four in the past and what has happened in Palestinian territories in the recent period. The Hamas raid of last year, which caused over a thousand and included numerous seized, shows limited similarity with the somewhat modest actions of the PLO in the period preceding Israel's invasion of the Lebanese nation.
Uncanny Similarities
Some are uncanny. Reagan finally made the call the prime minister, telling him that the situation in the capital was "a holocaust" and indicating the diplomatic ties between their nations could be gravely damaged if the fighting continued.
At that time, similar to current times, the war developed in live on global media. Hundreds journalists flew into the city to report on for the initial instance an regional battle without information control by the combatants.
Aftermath and Consequences
The events after the communication from American leadership and the halt in fighting in the city is instructive. The liberation movement, its divisions and officials were scattered across multiple countries and a dozen countries.
American leadership then removed international forces – a breach of the arrangement with Arafat. The elected leader, Lebanon's newly elected head of state and Israeli-supported figure, was killed by Damascus operatives.
Area-wide Shifts
The same was true across the wider Middle East. By the conclusion of that decade, the more secular and forward-thinking concepts that had appeared to provide the potential of a changed reality in the Middle Eastern nations a decade or so earlier were undermined.
The consequences of this emerged rapidly, in short order
In various nations, the Israeli state and the US now encountered enemies who were considerably more intractable, deadly and capable than the secular movements and nationalists of previous times.
Western Response
Internationally, the consequences of this were counterintuitive. Through the seventies, international experts and government representatives had attempted to comprehend what generated armed fundamentalism.
Afterward, in the early 1980s, this ceased. National figures in the America, the Britain and additional countries were lost interest in "underlying reasons" of conflict.
Modern Parallels
In recent days, accounts show that today's officials told Israeli counterparts that the country could not oppose international consensus and recognized Palestinian aspirations for a sovereign entity.
This too was an echo of historical precedent. In the aftermath of the military incursion of the neighboring country, past government told Israel that the strength of its military alone could not "achieve just and lasting peace" and recognized "legitimate rights of the Palestinian people."
But a US-led comprehensive agreement intended to answer those grievances went nowhere. Overseas, Palestinian leadership observed powerlessly.
International interest in the Middle East decreased. Israel rejected accommodations. Later, there was the major unrest, and the creation of further armed organizations.
- The patterns of the past present sobering perspectives for current peace efforts
- Lasting solutions require dealing with underlying issues rather than temporary ceasefires
- Local circumstances continue to develop in complex and often unpredictable ways